jay pettitt
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Last year I took bets that Arctic ice melt wouldn't trump 2007 (and won, though really I scraped through on a technicality) and narrowly avoided a fancy dress forfeit. This year you'd have to be mad. http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_stddev_timeseries.png
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It's looking very dark indeed - "Very soon we may experience the iconic moment when, one day in the summer, we look at satellite images and see no sea ice coverage in the Arctic, just open water." http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2012/aug/11/arctic-sea-ice-vanishing?intcmp=122
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